Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 5.233315 5.690562 6.200747 6.818981 7.557509 8.424555 9.540337
2025-02-02 4.995538 5.672936 6.494486 7.594291 9.080746 11.112700 14.303937
2025-02-09 4.638325 5.441699 6.481342 7.994520 10.286698 13.960596 21.365014
2025-02-16 4.297961 5.175065 6.372230 8.247053 11.414048 17.449768 34.575357
2025-02-23 3.977770 4.888431 6.185967 8.348755 12.389323 21.642398 65.098596
2025-03-02 3.599792 4.475118 5.753387 7.964792 12.369280 23.877137 117.471096
2025-03-09 3.347842 4.214243 5.514235 7.860295 12.905888 28.659564 768.242344
2025-03-16 3.068777 3.886791 5.130839 7.424873 12.565053 30.413090 NaN
2025-03-23 2.926420 3.749787 5.034609 7.505935 13.529659 40.395216 NaN
2025-03-30 2.773215 3.582303 4.867913 7.417505 14.046522 51.338862 NaN
2025-04-06 2.614714 3.394239 4.646734 7.178695 14.045426 60.228114 NaN
2025-04-13 2.451320 3.187934 4.376383 6.796201 13.465855 61.860804 NaN
2025-04-20 2.395000 3.158953 4.432011 7.178011 15.864672 179.924111 NaN
2025-04-27 2.393850 3.219176 4.658284 8.039657 21.583063 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.336760 3.182117 4.701082 8.490734 26.956913 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.266244 3.116231 4.679976 8.778059 32.854284 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.187087 3.028999 4.605367 8.896300 38.659693 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.073093 2.872947 4.372920 8.469974 37.352846 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.992891 2.771982 4.246397 8.355714 40.356629 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.892113 2.628958 4.019679 7.872615 36.980025 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.841276 2.572235 3.970599 7.964027 43.444316 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.781348 2.495616 3.871835 7.866715 46.973161 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.714700 2.403535 3.732542 7.602393 46.225466 NaN NaN